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Senate Holds Dueling ACA Votes With Both Measures Expected to Fail

Failure would let enhanced tax credits lapse on Dec. 31, triggering steep premium increases with widespread coverage losses.

Overview

  • Democrats seek a three-year renewal of the expanded Affordable Care Act premium tax credits, while Republicans back the Cassidy–Crapo plan that ends the credits and offers one-time Health Savings Account deposits.
  • The GOP proposal would provide $1,000 for adults 18–49 and $1,500 for those 50–64, limited to bronze or catastrophic marketplace plans, with restrictions on abortion and gender-affirming care and immigration status verification.
  • Both bills are widely expected to fall short of the 60 votes needed in the Republican-controlled Senate, leaving little time to craft an alternative before year’s end.
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson says the House will not vote to extend the enhanced credits and plans to advance a Republican package, while moderates pursue discharge petitions to force extension votes.
  • Analyses warn that letting the enhancements expire could more than double average premiums and push millions off coverage, and experts note the GOP plan would not avert near-term premium spikes.