Overview

• Relator Paulinho da Força says he plans to finalize a consensus text this week after talks with Chamber and Senate leaders, with a vote targeted for next Tuesday if both Houses agree.
• The draft under discussion would merge the crimes of coup d’état and violent abolition of the democratic state into a single offense, preventing cumulative sentences and cutting at least seven years from Bolsonaro’s 27-year term.
• Estimates reported by O Globo suggest Bolsonaro’s sentence could fall to about 20 years, with some scenarios discussed lowering it further depending on final calculations.
• Senate President Davi Alcolumbre requested adjustments to the Chamber’s draft and began consultations in the Senate, and deputies signal they will not vote without a green light from the upper House.
• Sources following the talks say that if reductions pass and standard progression rules apply, Bolsonaro could leave prison after roughly two years and eight months;