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Seguro Leads Portuguese Presidential First Round; Runoff Against Ventura Set for Feb. 8

The contest now turns to a rare runoff where the presidency’s veto and dissolution powers give the result extra weight.

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Overview

  • With 99.6% of votes tallied, António José Seguro has 31.1% and André Ventura 23.5%, sending both to a runoff.
  • João Cotrim de Figueiredo finished third with about 16%, with Henrique Gouveia e Melo and Luís Marques Mendes trailing in the low teens.
  • Early projections from RTP/Universidade Católica and an Intercampus exit poll anticipated this pairing, estimating Seguro near 30%–35% and Ventura near 20%–24%.
  • CESOP projected abstention between 37% and 43%, indicating the highest presidential participation since 2006.
  • It will be Portugal’s first presidential runoff in roughly four decades, as Ventura’s far-right surge meets high rejection rates in head-to-head surveys.