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Seguro Leads Portuguese Presidential First Round as Far Right Eyes Runoff

Early projections place Antonio José Seguro first in a race likely headed to a 8 February runoff.

Overview

  • Exit projections put Antonio José Seguro at 30.8% to 35.2% and André Ventura at 19.9% to 24%.
  • With no absolute majority indicated, the contest would move to a second round on 8 February.
  • A record field of eleven candidates has left the battle for the runoff spot tightly contested, with Ventura positioned to qualify according to early estimates.
  • Turnout is reported higher than in recent cycles, underscoring heightened interest in the reshaped political landscape.
  • Chega’s surge since 2021, including 22.8% and 60 seats in May’s legislative vote, has made it the main opposition as the presidency retains the power to dissolve Parliament.