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Sea Level Rise to Accelerate Despite 1.5°C Warming Limit, Study Finds

New research highlights irreversible ice sheet loss driving unmanageable sea level rise, threatening coastal populations and economies worldwide.

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@ NASA/Saskia Madlener
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Overview

  • Global sea level rise is projected to reach about one centimeter per year by 2100, even if global warming is capped at 1.5°C.
  • Ice sheet loss from Greenland and Antarctica has quadrupled since the 1990s, now the primary driver of rising seas.
  • At current warming of 1.2°C, accelerating sea level rise could become unmanageable within decades, with catastrophic consequences for coastal communities.
  • By 2050, just 20 centimeters of sea level rise could cause $1 trillion in annual flood damages for the world’s largest coastal cities.
  • Over 230 million people live within one meter of current sea levels, underscoring the urgent need for emissions reductions and adaptation measures.