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Scientists Call 3I/ATLAS a Natural Comet as Analyses Find Little Cyanide Risk to Earth

New assessments conclude any cyanide-bearing material would be neutralized long before reaching the ground.

Overview

  • Following its December 19 flyby at roughly 167–170 million miles, observations reinforced broad agreement that 3I/ATLAS is a natural interstellar comet.
  • Radio data from ALMA identified methanol and hydrogen cyanide in the coma, with JWST-based mass-loss estimates underpinning the new dispersion assessments.
  • Avi Loeb, who previously entertained artificial-origin scenarios, now says the object is “most likely natural,” noting lingering anomalies such as a sunward jet and an anti-tail.
  • Risk analyses indicate gas would be swept away by solar wind, sub-micrometer dust by radiation pressure, and larger debris would burn up in Earth’s atmosphere, leaving negligible hazard.
  • Researchers are preparing for a closer look during a projected March 16, 2026 approach to Jupiter at about 33.3 million miles, potentially using spacecraft positioned there.