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Scientists Assign First R0 to Gut E. coli, Find ST131-A Spreads at Flu-Like Rates

By merging colonisation with genomic datasets via ELFI modelling, researchers outline targeted surveillance to bolster hospital infection control.

Overview

  • A Nature Communications study delivers the first basic reproduction number estimates for gut-colonising bacteria by analysing three pandemic E. coli ST131 genotypes.
  • One variant, ST131-A, shows community transmission comparable to the H1N1 swine flu despite spreading via fecal–oral routes rather than airborne droplets.
  • Multidrug-resistant ST131-C1 and ST131-C2 transmit slowly among healthy people but likely spread far more efficiently within hospitals and care facilities.
  • The team combined UK Baby Biome colonisation data with longitudinal bloodstream infection genomics from the UK and Norway using the ELFI inference platform.
  • Researchers say the results argue for expanded genomic surveillance, rapid targeted diagnostics, and reduced reliance on broad-spectrum antibiotics, noting high resistance rates in UK E. coli bloodstream infections.