Overview
- The October estimate projects additional receipts of €296 million in 2025, €299 million in 2026, €216 million in 2027, and €105 million in 2028, with total tax revenues near €16 billion in 2029.
- Officials caution that sizable budget gaps persist and public debt stands at roughly €32 billion.
- The forecast already factors in federal daycare funding, the Investitionssofortprogramm, and the 2025 finance-equalization reform, while other federal tax changes remain excluded.
- If proposals such as a higher commuter allowance, a lower VAT on restaurant food, and the Aktivrente proceed, the state expects annual revenue losses in the high double-digit millions.
- Municipal revenues are revised up to about €4.9 billion in 2025, €162 million above May, with projections rising toward roughly €8.7 billion by 2029.