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SAWS Debunks 'Storm Baron' Hoax, Tracks Mozambique Low With Possible Rain Risk Jan. 10–15

Forecast models diverge on the system’s track, leaving rainfall totals and impact uncertain.

Overview

  • SAWS says no tropical cyclone exists in the south‑western Indian Ocean and no official storm has been named Baron.
  • The service expects an intense low‑pressure system to develop over southern Mozambique, with showers and thunderstorms possible from Saturday through Thursday.
  • Areas highlighted for potential effects include the escarpment and lowveld of Limpopo and Mpumalanga, plus north‑eastern KwaZulu‑Natal.
  • Model guidance ranges from a core remaining over Mozambique with lower totals to a closer track that could deliver several hundred millimetres of rain locally.
  • Officials will issue regular updates and urge the public to follow SAWS advisories and avoid sharing unverified social‑media messages.