Overview
- Planet Labs imagery from this month shows repairs under way at Parchin and Shahroud, including buildings believed to house mixing equipment.
- Experts report the specialized planetary mixers are absent, constraining any return to prewar output that exceeded 200 solid-fuel missiles per month.
- China is identified as the most likely source for mixers and propellant ingredients, with the U.S. sanctioning Chinese firms in April over alleged supplies to Iran after a deadly port explosion.
- Iran launched 574 ballistic missiles during the June war and 330 in earlier exchanges, depleting an arsenal estimated at about 2,500, while bombed nuclear sites show less restoration activity.
- At the United Nations, President Masoud Pezeshkian said Iran will never build a nuclear bomb as Tehran prioritizes higher-precision missiles and analysts note an IRGC-linked mixer transfer to a Syrian facility.