Overview
- Two U.S. researchers say Planet Labs images show features at a former Krichev airbase consistent with a Russian strategic missile site for mobile Oreshnik launchers.
- They assess about 90% confidence in a deployment at the location and estimate capacity for roughly three launchers.
- The assessment broadly aligns with U.S. intelligence, while Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko has claimed up to 10 missiles will be based in the country.
- Imagery reviewed shows rushed work beginning between August 4 and 12, including a fenced rail transfer point and a camouflaged concrete pad at the runway.
- Analysts describe stationing the hypersonic, nuclear-capable system in Belarus as political signaling that extends strike reach into Europe as arms-control limits near expiration.