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San Ramon Logs 300-Plus Quakes in Ongoing Swarm as USGS Sees No Sign of Major Fault Rupture

Scientists describe the burst of tremors as routine for the area, not a precursor to a major regional rupture.

Overview

  • More than 300 small earthquakes have rattled San Ramon over the past month after a magnitude 3.8 event on November 9, with recent quakes around magnitude 2–3.
  • USGS geophysicists Sarah Minson and Annemarie Baltay say the sizes and locations of the tremors indicate no significant risk of triggering the region’s primary faults right now.
  • Researchers point to local fault complexity and possible fluid movement through the crust as likely drivers of the cluster of minor quakes.
  • UC Berkeley’s Roland Burgmann and USGS’s Minson say the pattern may reflect an extended aftershock sequence from the initial 3.8 rather than a classic swarm.
  • USGS records show similar bursts struck the area in 1970, 1976, 2002, 2003, 2015, and 2018 without leading to a large earthquake, even as the Calaveras–San Andreas system remains a long-term hazard.