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San Marino’s Unusual World Cup Lifeline: Heavy Defeat to Romania Could Open Playoff Door

A quirk in UEFA’s format could hand San Marino a Nations League–derived playoff berth if Romania secures a top-two finish.

Overview

  • San Marino topped its Nations League League D group, keeping it eligible for one of four Nations League–linked playoff places.
  • If Romania, itself a Nations League group winner, qualifies directly from Group H, its Nations League playoff slot would be vacated and transferred to San Marino.
  • Reporting indicates Romania may need a lopsided win over San Marino in the final qualifier on November 18 to seal a top-two place.
  • San Marino is last in Group H with 0 points and a 1–32 goal record, highlighting the mathematical but highly unlikely nature of the route.
  • Even if it inherits a playoff berth, San Marino would still need to win multiple postseason matches to reach the 2026 World Cup.