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Russia's Economy Grows Amid Sanctions, Faces Long-Term Challenges

Despite sanctions and military spending pressures, Russia's economy shows resilience with growth, but long-term sustainability remains uncertain.

  • Despite facing unprecedented sanctions, Russia's economy grew by 3.6% last year and is expected to grow by about 3% this year, largely due to high military spending.
  • The effectiveness of Western sanctions is debated, with some sectors of Russia's economy adapting and finding new markets, particularly in China and India.
  • Russia's increased military spending, which is expected to rise to 6% of GDP this year, is putting pressure on its budget deficit and could lead to further inflation.
  • The loss of Western technology and key supplies, along with a demographic challenge and the exodus of young people, is expected to impact Russia's productive capacity over time.
  • Observers note that while sanctions may not have had an immediate crippling effect, their impact is expected to intensify, affecting Russia's industrial and technological capacity.
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