Overview

• At a Federation Council meeting, Rosaviatsia chief Dmitriy Yadrov issued a pessimistic forecast of about 339 airliners and 200 helicopters leaving service by 2030, including 230 domestic aircraft—many 40–60 years old—and 109 foreign.
• The regulator reported that 76 airlines operating 99% of flights currently have 1,135 aircraft, with 1,088 in service and 47 not flying as of October 6.
• Following the briefing, the agency said it is working to prevent that outcome through life‑extension for regional types such as the An‑24/26 and Yak‑40, supported by new inspection programs targeting age‑critical structures.
• Rosaviatsia is coordinating with United Engine Corporation and the Russian Aviareregister to extend the SaM146 engine life on Superjet 100s, and said recent actions avoided suspending flights on several jets in 2025.
• The agency says industry is preparing roughly 500 new domestic aircraft by 2030, while independent data show only 13 new airliners were added since 2022 under a repeatedly revised 770‑billion‑ruble program.