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Russia’s 2025 Budget Shows Oil Slump as Non‑Oil Revenues Strengthen

The finance ministry links the changed revenue mix to a lower average oil price.

Overview

  • Oil and gas revenues totaled 8.48 trillion rubles ($108.3 billion) in 2025, down 23.8% year on year, mainly due to a lower average oil price.
  • Non‑oil and gas revenues rose 12.6% to 24.9 trillion rubles ($368 billion), with turnover‑based receipts including VAT up 7.1%.
  • The finance ministry said 2025 oil and gas takings still exceeded their base size despite the annual decline.
  • An additional 84 billion rubles (about $1 billion) in oil and gas proceeds will be credited to the National Wealth Fund in 2026.
  • Reuters calculations reported on Jan. 19 indicate January 2026 oil and gas budget revenues could fall about 46% from a year earlier due to a stronger ruble and lower prices.