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Russian Satellite Linked to Nuclear Program Faces Operational Uncertainty

Cosmos 2553, suspected of aiding Russia's anti-satellite weapon development, shows signs of malfunction but recent data hints at partial stabilization.

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The Soyuz TMA-16 spacecraft approaches the International Space Station, carrying NASA astronaut Jeffrey Williams, Expedition 21 flight engineer; Russian cosmonaut Maxim Suraev, Soyuz commander and flight engineer; and spaceflight participant Guy Laliberte.
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Overview

  • Cosmos 2553, launched in February 2022, is believed to support Russia's nuclear anti-satellite weapon development, though Russia denies hostile intent.
  • The satellite has been observed tumbling uncontrollably since late 2024, with LeoLabs confirming in December that it was likely non-operational.
  • Recent observations from Slingshot Aerospace suggest the satellite may have partially stabilized, though its functionality remains unclear.
  • The satellite's placement in a high-radiation orbit was reportedly intended for testing durability, but its erratic behavior highlights potential setbacks for Russia's military space ambitions.
  • The incident underscores growing reliance on commercial space-tracking firms like LeoLabs and Slingshot Aerospace to monitor military-linked satellites and assess their status.