Overview

• Russian troops are considering multiple tactical directions for future offensives near Avdiivka, with potential targets including Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk.
• Estonian intelligence suggests that Russia will not be able to capture Chasiv Yar by the upcoming May 9 deadline, citing challenges in urban warfare.
• The Institute for the Study of War highlights Russian efforts to stabilize positions northwest of Avdiivka, possibly setting the stage for further advances.
• Chasiv Yar remains a significant military and logistical hub, heavily contested due to its strategic position near other key cities in Donetsk region.
• Russian military advancements are reportedly slow, with Ukrainian forces maintaining partial control over strategic villages despite pressure.