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Russian Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 21%, Defying Expectations

The decision reflects concerns about inflation and economic overheating, despite criticism from business leaders over high borrowing costs.

  • The Russian central bank unexpectedly kept its key interest rate at 21%, contrary to market expectations of a hike to 23%.
  • Governor Elvira Nabiullina emphasized that tightened monetary conditions have begun to slow inflation and credit growth, creating conditions for disinflation.
  • Inflation currently stands at 9.5%, more than double the central bank's 4% target, driven by military spending, labor shortages, and a weakened ruble.
  • Business leaders and political figures have criticized the high rates, arguing they stifle investment and economic activity, with some suggesting political pressures influenced the decision.
  • The central bank stated it will reassess the need for a rate hike at its February 2025 meeting, aiming for inflation to reach 4% by 2026.
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