Overview

• Planet Labs imagery shows increased shipments, equipment and personnel at Novaya Zemlya’s Pankovo site with the missile launcher’s protective shelter repositioned.
• Two radar-equipped aircraft at Rogachevo airfield and at least six ships, including the cargo vessel Teriberka, are en route or stationed to support the test.
• Russia issued notices to mariners and FAA NOTAMs outlining an August 9–22 launch window that aligns with observed activity and maritime warnings.
• A test carried out this week would coincide with Putin’s talks with President Trump in Alaska, a scheduling choice that experts say can be adjusted to send a political signal.
• The Burevestnik’s history of failed or partial trials and a deadly 2019 explosion highlight unresolved technical, safety and arms-control concerns as New START approaches expiry.