Overview

• Planet Labs images and vessel-tracking data reveal stacks of containers, a movable launcher shelter, cranes, specialized ships and radar-domed jets at the Pankovo test site.
• Russian aviation authorities and maritime notices have restricted the Barents Sea area and signaled a possible August 9–22 launch window.
• An unnamed Western security source has corroborated analysts’ findings, yet Russia’s Defense Ministry has not publicly confirmed any imminent test.
• The Burevestnik program’s poor test record and a 2019 fatal explosion prompt expert doubts about its operational reliability and warnings of radioactive hazards.
• The preparations coincide with President Putin’s upcoming talks with President Trump and may affect U.S.-Russia arms-control discussions as New START approaches expiration.