Overview

• According to Ukraine’s General Staff, Russian casualties will reach one million by the end of June, with 628,000 occurring in the past six months.
• Moscow’s “meat grinder” strategy has secured slow territorial advances at an estimated cost of 53 casualties per square kilometer gained.
• Heavy officer losses have forced a shift toward small, dispersed detachments led by hastily trained replacements lacking battlefield experience.
• To replenish its ranks, Russia is offering full pardons to prisoners who survive combat tours, raising contract pay to over $2,000 monthly and fielding Chinese and North Korean fighters.
• The depletion of men has left many rural communities populated mainly by women, children and the elderly, foreshadowing a long-term demographic decline.