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Russia Poised for Imminent Test of Nuclear-Powered Burevestnik Missile

Concentrated Novaya Zemlya activity shows a near-term launch window opening to reinforce deterrence toward the United States ahead of Alaska talks.

Overview

  • Commercial satellite images show stacks of shipping containers, cranes, helicopters, and shelter movements at the Pankovo launch site since late July.
  • Defense Internet notices posted by Russia on the FAA NOTAM service designate August 9–22 as a potential launch window over the Barents Sea region.
  • A U.S. Air Force WC-135R nuclear-monitoring aircraft has flown near Russia’s northwest bases to gather data on possible propulsion tests.
  • Independent groups cite only two partial successes among 13 known Burevestnik trials and note a 2019 explosion that killed five specialists.
  • Observers suggest the near-term test could be intended as a deterrent message ahead of Putin’s talks with President Trump in Alaska.