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Russia Holds 135 Million-Ton Grain Outlook as Yields Rise and Low Prices Curb Exports

Officials cite depressed global prices for this year's lower grain shipments.

Overview

  • Vice Premier Dmitry Patrushev told President Vladimir Putin that grain yields are about 10% higher than in 2024.
  • The government is maintaining a full-year grains forecast of roughly 135 million tons.
  • Wheat output is projected at about 88–90 million tons based on estimates from Patrushev and Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut.
  • About 128 million tons of grain have been collected in gross weight so far, according to the agriculture ministry.
  • Export receipts are up in most categories in 2025, but grain exports have declined due to low world prices, and officials say demand remains with potential for a rebound if prices improve.