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Russia Forecasts December–January Flu and ARVI Surge as Vaccination Deadline Nears

Officials urge getting the flu shot by the end of November to build immunity before peak circulation.

Overview

  • Ministry of Health infectious-disease expert Vladimir Chulanov expects the next rise in influenza and ARVI cases in December–January, with heightened activity possibly lasting into spring.
  • National surveillance for week 45 (November 3–9) recorded 44.7 cases per 10,000 people, which remained below epidemic thresholds.
  • Rospotrebnadzor earlier reported a sixfold week‑to‑week increase in influenza cases across Russia, signaling an early-season acceleration.
  • Moscow’s Rospotrebnadzor says flu cases are increasing in the city, epidemic thresholds were not exceeded for week 45, overall ARVI indicators fell versus the prior week, and rhinoviruses predominate.
  • The vaccination campaign runs September through November, and authorities emphasize that immunization reduces infection risk and severe complications such as pneumonia, myocarditis, and meningitis.