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Russia Faces Tank Shortages by 2026, IISS Report Warns

The International Institute for Strategic Studies highlights Russia's heavy equipment losses in Ukraine, but notes its ability to sustain forces longer than Ukraine.

  • Russia lost approximately 1,400 tanks in 2024, with total losses of 4,400 main battle tanks since the invasion began in 2022, according to the IISS report.
  • Moscow has relied on refurbishing Soviet-era stockpiles to offset losses, but these resources are deteriorating and may not sustain current operational levels beyond 2026.
  • Ukraine faces significant personnel shortages and struggles to maintain troop levels, while Western military aid has been insufficient to support a sustained counteroffensive.
  • Russia's military spending increased by nearly 42% in 2024, reaching $145.9 billion, reflecting the war's central role in its domestic and economic priorities.
  • The IISS report suggests the war remains a grinding conflict with no immediate resolution in sight, as both sides endure heavy attrition and economic strain.
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