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Russia escalates drone and missile strikes as Istanbul ceasefire talks approach

Ukraine’s agreement to resume negotiations on June 2 in Istanbul hinges on advance access to Russia’s ceasefire memorandum

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Overview

  • Russia unleashed over 250 Shahed drones and 14 Iskander missiles in a single wave late May, marking the largest combined air offensive since the conflict began.
  • Ukraine’s interceptor stockpiles and air-defense systems remain strained by ammunition shortages, prompting increased use of helicopters, fighter jets and light anti-aircraft weapons.
  • Germany pledged €5 billion to help Ukraine establish domestic production of long-range missiles and kamikaze drones, with initial systems expected to deploy within weeks.
  • Russia proposed a second round of direct ceasefire talks in Istanbul on June 2 and Kyiv has accepted the date pending review of Moscow’s written ceasefire conditions.
  • The United States has not committed to new sanctions on Russia, with President Trump saying he will decide on additional measures within two weeks and expressing openness to meeting both Putin and Zelensky.