Overview

• President Trump’s 50-day deadline for President Putin to accept a peace deal has passed its midpoint with the Kremlin rejecting any ultimatum or additional sanctions.
• Russian officials have reaffirmed their capacity to withstand “unprecedented” penalties even as they intensify drone and missile attacks on civilian areas.
• The United States, working with European NATO partners, is fast-tracking the delivery of Patriot air defense systems under a new Europe-funded weapons pipeline.
• Senior NATO commanders and diplomats have publicly declared that Ukraine can win, signaling elevated Western confidence in Kyiv’s battlefield prospects.
• Analysts warn that without simultaneous diplomatic engagement, coercive deadlines and sanctions alone are unlikely to produce a durable resolution to the conflict.