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Rural India Hits Replacement Fertility as National Rate Falls to 1.9

The new SRS report signals a shrinking cohort of future mothers, underscored by a national GRR of 0.9.

Overview

  • Government SRS 2023 data show rural TFR at 2.1 for the first time, with the national TFR at 1.9 and urban TFR at 1.5.
  • Gross Reproduction Rate stands at 0.9 nationally, with rural at 1.0 and urban at 0.7, indicating fewer daughters reaching childbearing age.
  • Crude Birth Rate declined to 18.4 per 1,000 in 2023 from 19.1 in 2022, including 20.3 in rural areas and 14.9 in urban areas.
  • Crude Death Rate was 6.4 per 1,000 in 2023, still above pre-pandemic levels, with reports of elevated deaths among ages 5–39 and unresolved causes.
  • Fertility remains uneven across states, led by Bihar at 2.8 and Uttar Pradesh at 2.6, with Delhi at 1.2 and Tamil Nadu and West Bengal at 1.3.