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Rupee Stabilizes After RBI Action Amid Escalating India-Pakistan Conflict

The Indian rupee recovered 17 paise to close at 85.41 per US dollar on May 9 following Reserve Bank of India intervention, but remains under pressure from geopolitical tensions, a strong dollar, and rising oil prices.

Overview

  • The rupee saw its worst single-day drop in a month on May 8, plunging 1.5% against the US dollar after India struck terror camps in Pakistan.
  • By the week ending May 9, the rupee had declined 0.9%, reflecting heightened market concerns over the intensifying India-Pakistan conflict.
  • The Reserve Bank of India intervened through state-run banks on May 9, helping the rupee recover 17 paise to settle at 85.41 per US dollar.
  • A resurgent US dollar index above 100, rising crude oil prices, and geopolitical uncertainty continue to exert downward pressure on the rupee.
  • India-Pakistan hostilities, marked by drone and artillery exchanges, represent the worst cross-border fighting in nearly three decades.