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Rupee Sinks to Five-Month Low Ahead of US Tariffs

Elevated month-end dollar demand alongside sustained foreign portfolio outflows have driven the rupee to a five-month low, prompting traders to anticipate RBI support near the 88-per-dollar level.

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Overview

  • The currency finished at ₹87.43 per dollar, its weakest close in more than five months, after dropping 61 paise in a single session.
  • Heavy month-end demand for dollars from importers and aggressive selling by foreign portfolio investors depleted market liquidity and accentuated the decline.
  • President Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on Indian exports taking effect August 1 heightened concerns over trade relations and contributed to the rupee’s slide.
  • Rising Brent crude prices have increased India’s import bill, adding further strain to the currency.
  • Market participants anticipate the Reserve Bank of India to step in around the 88-per-dollar threshold to curb excessive volatility and are watching the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy decision for further direction.