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Rupee Rangebound Ahead of RBI Decision and US Inflation Data

  • The rupee has traded in a narrow range between 81.50-83.00 against the dollar since February due to RBI intervention.
  • Traders are looking to the RBI policy meeting and US CPI data for direction, though major moves are not expected.
  • RBI is expected to keep rates steady but reduce liquidity, while US inflation is seen accelerating on an annual basis.
  • Muted risk appetite and concerns over China's economy have also kept the rupee subdued.
  • Lower trading volumes and speculative interest in the rupee indicate uncertainty about near-term direction.
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