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Rupee Holds at 94.46 After Intraday Swings

Domestic equity rallies, foreign inflows and ample RBI reserves point to potential orderly rupee gains despite external dollar strength and higher oil costs.

Overview

  • The rupee settled unchanged at 94.46 against the US dollar after an intraday low of 94.57 and a recovery into the close.
  • Traders said the currency’s flat finish signals near-term stabilisation following earlier sharp recoveries.
  • India’s equity markets posted large gains with the Sensex jumping about 2,008 points and the Nifty rising roughly 576 points, which helped support the rupee.
  • Foreign institutional investors were net buyers of equities to the tune of about Rs 7,284 crore, providing additional currency support.
  • Analysts at Kotak NEO pointed to the RBI’s 5.50% repo rate and roughly USD 720 billion in reserves as buffers that allow orderly appreciation, though dollar moves and Brent crude around USD 96 a barrel keep volatility possible.