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Rubrik Posts Beat and Raised Outlook as Analysts Split on Valuation

Analyst views diverge due to worries about valuation after a steep post‑IPO rally.

Overview

  • Subscription annual recurring revenue rose 36% year over year, with cloud subscriptions up 57%, surpassing expectations.
  • Net new annual recurring revenue was about $71 million, ahead of consensus.
  • Rubrik exceeded FactSet estimates on revenue, subscription ARR, operating income, and free cash flow in fiscal 2Q26.
  • Management raised full‑year fiscal 2026 guidance, as analysts also pointed to product momentum from Agent Rewind and Identity Resilience.
  • Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed an Overweight rating with a $115 price target, while Mizuho reiterated Neutral at $97, citing a roughly 200% post‑IPO gain and 51% year‑to‑date rise.