Overview

• Ruben Gallego holds a consistent lead over Kari Lake in recent polls, with averages showing a 7-point advantage.
• Gallego's campaign benefits from a significant financial edge, with Democrats outspending Republicans $25 million to $7 million in Arizona.
• Kari Lake's campaign is challenged by her association with election denial and controversial statements, which have alienated some traditional Republican voters.
• Despite Lake's strong debate showing, her campaign struggles with credibility issues and a lack of support from major GOP funding groups.
• Gallego's centrist campaign approach has successfully attracted moderate and independent voters, crucial in Arizona's historically conservative landscape.