Overview

• Recent polls show Democrat Ruben Gallego leading Republican Kari Lake 52% to 42% among likely Arizona voters.
• Gallego's lead is consistent across multiple polls, with him reaching the 50% support mark in six consecutive surveys.
• Lake, a Trump ally, faces a critical debate with Gallego tonight, marking their only face-to-face encounter of the campaign.
• Political forecasters and betting markets favor Gallego, with Democrats significantly outspending Republicans in campaign ads.
• The Arizona Senate race is pivotal as the GOP aims to gain control of the Senate, currently with 49 Republican-aligned members.