Overview

• Sydney Roosters hold the strongest probability for the last NRL finals berth at 65%, with the Dolphins at 28%, the Sea Eagles at 6% and the Tigers under 1%, according to The Sporting News model.
• With two NRL rounds remaining, points differential looms as decisive, highlighted by the Roosters at +72 and the Dolphins at +81 in likely tie-break scenarios.
• Manly reignited faint hopes by thrashing the Dolphins 58–30 after four straight losses, yet still require other results to fall their way.
• In NRLW Round 8, the Roosters crushed Parramatta 56–12 with a 44-point second half and their first ever NRLW half-century, while Canberra’s 56–24 over Canterbury set a new 80-point combined-game record.
• Brisbane underscored their title credentials by routing Newcastle 46–16, reinforcing the emerging Roosters–Broncos duopoly at the top of the NRLW.