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Romania's Presidential Runoff Narrows as Simion Faces Growing Challenge

Far-right frontrunner George Simion's lead tightens against centrist Nicușor Dan ahead of the May 18 vote, with EU and NATO closely watching the outcome.

George Simion (left) and Nicusor Dan (right) sit in the same bench while attending a meeting of the National Union Bloc in Bucharest, Romania, May 7 2025. Inquam Photos/Malina Norocea via REUTERS
Supporters watch Leader of the radical right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) George Simion speak on a screen following the exit poll results during the Romanian presidential election, outside the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) headquarters in Bucharest, Romania, May 4, 2025. REUTERS/Louisa Gouliamaki/File Photo
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Overview

  • The May 18 runoff follows the annulment of Romania's November 2024 presidential election due to Russian interference, marking the second vote in six months.
  • George Simion, a far-right nationalist and pro-Trump candidate, won 40.9% in the May 4 first round, but recent polls show his lead over centrist Nicușor Dan shrinking.
  • Simion's potential victory raises concerns about Romania's alignment within the EU and NATO, with fears of a shift toward illiberal policies modeled after Hungary's Viktor Orbán.
  • The runoff is being closely monitored by EU and NATO officials, as Romania's semi-executive presidency holds significant influence over foreign policy, defense, and EU decision-making.
  • The election reflects a broader populist wave in Central and Eastern Europe, with nationalist movements gaining traction in Poland, Slovakia, and Hungary.