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Robinhood Hits Record High as Prediction Markets Top 4 Billion Contracts

Investor enthusiasm reflects accelerating event‑contract volumes that analysts say could meaningfully lift revenue.

Overview

  • CEO Vlad Tenev said more than 4 billion event contracts have traded since February, including over 2 billion in the third quarter.
  • Shares set a fresh all‑time high on Monday, trading as high as about $135.86, with the stock up roughly 11% intraday.
  • Piper Sandler projected roughly 2.5 billion Q3 event contracts for Robinhood, implying about $25 million in revenue at $0.01 per contract.
  • The firm’s users are estimated to account for about 25% to 35% of Kalshi’s daily activity, with recent surges tied to wagering on football game outcomes.
  • Benzinga reported the prediction‑markets unit is pacing above a $200 million annualized revenue rate as Robinhood also highlights $304 billion in platform assets, $4.8 billion in August net deposits, and new offerings like short selling, social trading, and Robinhood Ventures Fund I.