Overview
- An Institut Verian survey for Le Monde and L’Hémicycle finds 42% of French people agree with RN ideas, up 13 points since 2022, and 69% believe the party can take power.
- Forty-nine percent of respondents say Jordan Bardella is the most likely winner in 2027, far ahead of Marine Le Pen at 18%.
- Marine Le Pen’s appeal in the European Parliament assistants case runs from January 13 to February 12 after a 2025 verdict of four years’ prison, €100,000 fine and five years’ ineligibility with immediate effect.
- The appeal court’s decision, expected before summer, could lift the provisional ineligibility, reduce it, or uphold it; a potential cassation review is planned “if possible” before 2027.
- Bardella filed a criminal complaint for denunciation calomnieuse against AC Anti-corruption after the group asked the financial prosecutor to probe alleged misuse of EU funds for ‘media training’; prosecutors say an analysis is underway.