Overview
- RN posted X visuals pairing Marine Le Pen with Jordan Bardella and claiming a jointly endorsed “alternance,” despite the poll having assessed Bardella only.
- In Odoxa-Mascaret’s second-round matchups, Bardella is reported at 74% versus Jean‑Luc Mélenchon, 58% versus Raphaël Glucksmann, 56% versus Gabriel Attal, and 53% versus Édouard Philippe, with Le Pen not tested.
- A separate Verian poll for L’Hémicycle places Bardella at roughly 35.5%–36.5% in first‑round voting intentions, far ahead of Philippe (16.5%–17%) and Glucksmann (11.5%–13%).
- Odoxa and commentators cite Le Pen’s pending appeal in the European Parliament assistants case and her current ineligibility ruling to explain why pollsters are testing Bardella.
- Coverage notes unusually high shares of undecided or non‑respondents in the Odoxa polling and stresses that these surveys are snapshots rather than predictions.