Rising Recession Risks Spark Concerns Over U.S. Economic Policies

Economists and analysts warn of increasing recession probabilities tied to tariffs, layoffs, and market volatility under Trump administration policies.

JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and other institutions have raised their 2025 recession probabilities, citing economic uncertainty and extreme U.S. policies.
Tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are contributing to inflationary pressures and slowing business investment and hiring decisions.
Layoffs reached 170,000 in February, the highest monthly figure since 2008, with significant impacts on consumer confidence and spending.
Key economic indicators, including a negative yield curve and declining consumer confidence indices, are signaling potential recessionary trends.
The Federal Reserve has opted to maintain its current course for now, while analysts debate the long-term implications of current fiscal and trade policies.