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Rio Tinto, Glencore Confirm Early Talks on Potential Rio-Led Combination

The talks reflect a drive to secure scarce copper assets, with Glencore’s coal portfolio posing a hurdle.

Overview

  • Both companies say discussions are preliminary and any deal would likely be structured as Rio Tinto acquiring Glencore via a scheme of arrangement, with scope for flexibility.
  • Analysts frame the strategic motive as scaling exposure to transition metals such as copper, given tightening supply and rising demand from electrification and AI.
  • A tie-up could create the world’s largest miner with a combined market value north of $200 billion, based on current market capitalizations reported for the two groups.
  • Glencore’s thermal coal assets are seen as a major obstacle for Rio Tinto, which exited coal in 2018, raising potential ESG concerns and the risk of shareholder pushback.
  • Glencore shares jumped nearly 14% intraday on the JSE before closing up about 10.5%, as commentary highlighted possible heavy equity issuance and steep synergy needs if a deal proceeds.