Overview
- Rieder’s probability on Polymarket has hovered near 50% in recent days, while Kalshi bettors put his chances around 39%, ahead of Kevin Warsh and Christopher Waller.
- His odds spiked after Trump called him “very impressive” during the president’s Davos trip, according to market data and recent reporting.
- Rieder serves as BlackRock’s chief investment officer for global fixed income, overseeing roughly $2.4 trillion in assets.
- He has urged lowering the federal funds rate toward about 3%, a stance analysts describe as dovish relative to current policy.
- Rieder has been outspoken about bitcoin’s role as a store of value, though supervisory rulemaking at the Fed has been led by Vice Chair Michelle Bowman under current practice.