Particle.news

Download on the App Store

Richmond Fed: Record Share of Unemployed Are First-Time Job Seekers

The analysis links a pullback in entry-level hiring to employer caution driven by policy uncertainty, including tariffs.

Donald Trump dances as he leaves the stage after speaking at the Salute to America Celebration at the Iowa State Fairgrounds in Des Moines
Image
Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond; Chart: Axios Visuals

Overview

  • New entrants accounted for 13.4% of July’s unemployed, the highest share since 1988, according to Richmond Fed analysis of government data.
  • Overall U.S. unemployment remains relatively low at about 4.2%, yet those without jobs are facing one of the toughest markets in years.
  • People unemployed for 27 weeks or more made up 25.2% of the jobless, the largest share since February 2022.
  • For Americans aged 22–27, unemployment reached 7.4% in the second quarter, with degree holders facing rates last seen in the early 2010s outside of 2020.
  • Richmond Fed economist John O’Trakoun describes a “double-whammy” for Gen Z, noting many began college during pandemic-era remote learning.