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Reuters Poll Points to Subdued 2025 Oil Prices as OPEC+ Raises Output

Price expectations reflect a market tilting toward surplus.

Overview

  • Brent is forecast to average $67.65 in 2025 and WTI $64.65, according to a Reuters August survey of 31 economists and analysts.
  • OPEC+ approved a 547,000 barrels‑per‑day increase for September, with some analysts suggesting the group may keep prioritizing market share over higher prices.
  • Major banks project a further slide late this year into early 2026, with a Wall Street Journal survey showing Brent near $63.57 and WTI about $60.30 in the fourth quarter.
  • The Reuters poll pegs 2025 demand growth at 500,000 to 1.1 million barrels per day, compared with the IEA’s estimate of roughly 680,000 barrels per day.
  • U.S. tariff actions under President Donald Trump are pressuring buyers of Russian oil, though respondents expect limited market impact as alternative supply grows, and analysts note a persistent risk premium from renewed strikes on Russian energy infrastructure.