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RethinkX Study Predicts AI Will Automate Nearly All Jobs by 2045

The projection has reignited debate among AI leaders on whether emerging tools will eliminate jobs or drive new forms of work

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Overview

  • Adam Dorr of RethinkX warns that by mid-century robots and AI could render most human roles obsolete, leaving billions without traditional employment
  • He identifies a narrow set of human-centric occupations—including sex workers, sports coaches, politicians, and ethicists—that may endure but cannot absorb the displaced workforce
  • Dorr outlines two potential outcomes: a future of mass inequality or “super-abundance” where machines meet human needs without conventional labor
  • Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and Meta’s Yann LeCun counter that AI will transform rather than eliminate jobs, and OpenAI’s Sam Altman predicts new, if unconventional, roles will emerge
  • ManpowerGroup data highlights lorry drivers, teachers, shop workers, and cleaners as among the least susceptible to automation, underscoring an urgent need for reskilling strategies