Overview

• ANPEC staged a sit‑in outside the Chamber of Deputies with more than 2,000 shopkeepers and delivered tens of thousands of signatures, securing meetings with the Finance Commission during pre‑vote hearings.
• The Paquete Económico 2026 proposes an 87% IEPS increase on flavored drinks, a new levy on previously exempt low‑/no‑calorie beverages, and lifting tobacco’s ad valorem rate from 160% to 200% starting in 2026.
• Price effects cited in the debate include soft drinks rising 10%–15% from January 1, 2026 and cigarettes increasing by up to 20 pesos per pack, with industry warning legal packs could exceed 100 pesos.
• ANPEC estimates at least 60,000 corner stores and 120,000 jobs are at risk and projects a 15% drop in sales, while retailers and tobacco groups caution illicit cigarettes could reach roughly 30% of the market.
• Public‑health researchers from INSP, CIEP and Johns Hopkins report that a 10% price increase cuts consumption of sugary drinks and tobacco by 7%–12%, and Morena lawmakers tout channeling proceeds to a health fund, though the plan remains under congressional review.