Overview

• Republican senators received an NRSC memo urging them to spotlight popular provisions—no taxes on tips, overtime pay and Social Security—during the August recess.
• House Democrats’ campaign arm has launched a national digital ad campaign targeting 35 Republicans who supported the law, and outside groups are planning a seven-figure TV and online blitz highlighting health and food aid cuts.
• Democrats emphasize deep cuts to Medicaid and SNAP under the law and warn that nearly $1 trillion in reductions could put millions at risk, a point highlighted by Sen. Thom Tillis’s caution about a 2010-style political backlash.
• Polls from Quinnipiac and Fox News show 55 percent and 59 percent opposition respectively as voters express concern over the bill’s deficit growth and social safety net rollbacks.
• The legislation couples immediate extensions of 2017 tax cuts with delayed safety-net rollbacks, shaping both parties’ outreach as they vie to influence voters before the midterms.