Overview
- The Global Fund supplies about 59% of international malaria financing, and a new ALMA/Malaria No More UK analysis links underfunding to sharp increases in cases, deaths and economic losses across Africa.
- A worst‑case collapse of prevention efforts could result in 525 million additional cases, 990,000 extra deaths — including roughly 750,000 children under five — and $83bn in lost GDP by 2030.
- A moderate shortfall of roughly 20% compared with the last funding round is projected to add about 33 million cases, 82,000 deaths and $5.14bn in lost GDP by 2030.
- Full financing of the requested $18bn for 2027–2029 could avert an estimated 865 million cases and 1.86 million deaths while delivering a $230bn boost to GDP, the modelling finds.
- Signals of weaker donor pledges include Germany’s $1bn commitment, about 23% below its previous level, and reports that the UK is considering a reduction of around 20% as final decisions approach.